USGS Streamgage 09473000
Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ
Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ is USGS streamgage 09473000 in Arizona, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 15050203. It drains a watershed of about 537 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1919. Typical flow runs near 9.9 cfs in July and 13 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.
View live conditions & forecast →
Gauge details
- State
- Arizona
- Drainage area
- 537 sq mi
- Gauge elevation
- 2,321 ft
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 15050203
- Coordinates
- 32.84468, -110.62929
- USGS site number
- 09473000
- Records begin
- 1919-08-02 (107 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 24 | 188 | ||
| 3.6 | 14.9 | 91.7 | ||
| 2.6 | 9.6 | 51.4 | ||
| 2.2 | 7.2 | 32.7 | ||
| 1.8 | 5.6 | 20.9 | ||
| 1.7 | 5 | 15 | ||
| 1.7 | 4.7 | 13.6 | ||
| 1.7 | 5.6 | 29 | ||
| 1.8 | 5.3 | 16.8 | ||
| 1.8 | 4.9 | 12.9 | ||
| 1.6 | 4.5 | 11.9 | ||
| 1.5 | 4.6 | 17.6 | ||
| 1.5 | 4.7 | 14.1 | ||
| 1.5 | 4.5 | 13.4 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 95 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 11 | 17.1 | 59.6 | |
| February | 10.6 | 19.1 | 99.1 | |
| March | 9.4 | 18.1 | 72.7 | |
| April | 6.2 | 13 | 34.5 | |
| May | 2.7 | 8.3 | 26.4 | |
| June | 0.3 | 5.3 | 20.6 | |
| July | 1.1 | 9.9 | 42 | |
| August | 3.3 | 15.2 | 65.8 | |
| September | 3.6 | 12 | 38.7 | |
| October | 5.3 | 10.7 | 31.1 | |
| November | 8.6 | 12.8 | 31.5 | |
| December | 9.9 | 16.6 | 42.3 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ normally run highest?
- February, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 19.1 cfs, against 5.3 cfs in June, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 17.1 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 11 and 59.6 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 09473000 begin in 1919, about 107 years, covering roughly 9,130 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ?
- The gauge sits at 32.84468, -110.62929, in Arizona, in hydrologic subbasin 15050203, at an elevation of about 2,321 feet, draining roughly 537 square miles.
- Can I use Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth, AZ data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.