USGS Streamgage 14354200
Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR
Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR is USGS streamgage 14354200 in Oregon, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 17100308. It sits on the Bear Creek, alongside 1 other gauge Rivermatics tracks on the same river. It drains a watershed of about 179 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1990. Typical flow runs near 50.5 cfs in July and 86.9 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.
View live conditions & forecast →
Gauge details
- State
- Oregon
- Drainage area
- 179 sq mi
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 17100308
- Coordinates
- 42.2185, -122.72481
- USGS site number
- 14354200
- Records begin
- 1990-07-01 (36 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3 | 8.1 | 11.8 | ||
| 4.7 | 7.9 | 14.1 | ||
| 4.5 | 8.2 | 15.8 | ||
| 4 | 7.7 | 15.9 | ||
| 4 | 7.9 | 16.9 | ||
| 4.7 | 9 | 19 | ||
| 4 | 8.2 | 18 | ||
| 4.7 | 9.5 | 20.1 | ||
| 3.7 | 7.9 | 18.2 | ||
| 3.6 | 7.8 | 17.8 | ||
| 3.6 | 8 | 18.3 | ||
| 3.8 | 8.3 | 19 | ||
| 3.2 | 7.6 | 18.1 | ||
| 3.5 | 8 | 19.2 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 36 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 18.7 | 52.3 | 315 | |
| February | 18.2 | 59 | 311.3 | |
| March | 22.1 | 83.5 | 290 | |
| April | 19.3 | 86.9 | 327 | |
| May | 23.8 | 70.7 | 246.2 | |
| June | 26.9 | 47.3 | 117.6 | |
| July | 33.9 | 50.5 | 66.2 | |
| August | 30.6 | 47.6 | 64.3 | |
| September | 11.1 | 29.6 | 45.3 | |
| October | 5.9 | 16 | 30.9 | |
| November | 9.4 | 19.1 | 47.2 | |
| December | 13.7 | 32.5 | 208 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR normally run highest?
- April, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 86.9 cfs, against 16 cfs in October, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 52.3 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 18.7 and 315 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 14354200 begin in 1990, about 36 years, covering roughly 9,196 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR?
- The gauge sits at 42.2185, -122.72481, in Oregon, in hydrologic subbasin 17100308, draining roughly 179 square miles.
- Can I use Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.
Upstream and downstream on the Bear Creek
Every gauge Rivermatics tracks on this river, ordered by drainage area — upstream first. See the Bear Creek in full.
- Bear Creek below Ashland Creek at Ashland, OR this page
- Bear Creek at Medford, OR 289 sq mi