USGS Streamgage 09398000
Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ
Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ is USGS streamgage 09398000 in Arizona, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 15020010. It drains a watershed of about 785 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1906. Typical flow runs near 4.1 cfs in July and 62.7 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.
View live conditions & forecast →
Gauge details
- State
- Arizona
- Drainage area
- 785 sq mi
- Gauge elevation
- 4,940 ft
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 15020010
- Coordinates
- 34.92439, -110.52893
- USGS site number
- 09398000
- Records begin
- 1906-01-01 (120 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1 | 10.1 | 14.8 | ||
| 9.3 | 24.4 | 313 | ||
| 8.3 | 20.7 | 127 | ||
| 6.2 | 13.3 | 49.1 | ||
| 5.7 | 11.4 | 27.9 | ||
| 5 | 9.9 | 21.3 | ||
| 5 | 9.7 | 21.3 | ||
| 4.4 | 8.9 | 18 | ||
| 3.9 | 8.2 | 17 | ||
| 3.7 | 7.9 | 15.9 | ||
| 4.2 | 8.9 | 18 | ||
| 3.9 | 8.4 | 16.9 | ||
| 3.4 | 7.4 | 14.4 | ||
| 3 | 6.5 | 13.3 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 121 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2.9 | 4.5 | 78.6 | |
| February | 3.1 | 9.7 | 163 | |
| March | 4.2 | 86.1 | 473.1 | |
| April | 4.1 | 62.7 | 512.3 | |
| May | 2.3 | 4.6 | 58.6 | |
| June | 2 | 4 | 7.1 | |
| July | 2.2 | 4.1 | 14.3 | |
| August | 2.3 | 4.3 | 30.6 | |
| September | 2.3 | 4 | 14 | |
| October | 2.8 | 4 | 7.3 | |
| November | 2.8 | 4 | 21.6 | |
| December | 3 | 4 | 65.6 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ normally run highest?
- March, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 86.1 cfs, against 4 cfs in June, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 4.5 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 2.9 and 78.6 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 09398000 begin in 1906, about 120 years, covering roughly 2,596 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ?
- The gauge sits at 34.92439, -110.52893, in Arizona, in hydrologic subbasin 15020010, at an elevation of about 4,940 feet, draining roughly 785 square miles.
- Can I use Chevelon Creek near Winslow, AZ data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.