Rivermatics

USGS Streamgage 09507480

Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ

Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ is USGS streamgage 09507480 in Arizona, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 15060203. It drains a watershed of about 69 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 2010. Typical flow runs near 41.2 cfs in July and 42.1 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.

View live conditions & forecast →

Gauge details

State
Arizona
Drainage area
69 sq mi
Gauge elevation
3,600 ft
Subbasin (HUC-8)
15060203
Coordinates
34.39431, -111.63
USGS site number
09507480
Records begin
2010-09-14 (16 years)
Rivermatics forecast
14-day flow outlook

14-day flow forecast

Based on observations through for Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.

Forecast daily mean discharge in cubic feet per second, by date
Date Low p10 Expected p50 High p90 Range
43.6 45 49.1
46.6 82.4 340
42.6 46.9 72.7
42.3 45.7 58.6
41.9 44.8 53.1
41.4 44.4 50.5
41.1 44.2 50.4
40.6 44 49.4
40.3 43.9 49
40.3 43.9 49.3
40.7 44.9 57.5
40.8 45.1 60.6
40.3 44.4 54.3
39.8 44 51.2

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.

Typical flow by month

Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 16 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.

Historical monthly discharge percentiles in cubic feet per second
Month Low p10 Typical p50 High p90 Range
January 40.4 46.2 184.9
February 40 45 234.1
March 39.3 45.7 449.4
April 39.1 42.1 65.9
May 38.4 41 44.5
June 38.4 41 44.5
July 39.1 41.2 48.8
August 39.2 41.3 54.6
September 38.1 40.7 48.6
October 37.3 41 67.1
November 38.2 41.4 120.8
December 39.4 43.5 85.3

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).

Common questions

When does Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ normally run highest?
January, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 46.2 cfs, against 40.7 cfs in September, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
What is a normal flow for Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ?
It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 46.2 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 40.4 and 184.9 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
How long has Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ been measured?
Discharge records at USGS site 09507480 begin in 2010, about 16 years, covering roughly 5,789 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
Is there a flow forecast for Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ?
Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
Where is Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ?
The gauge sits at 34.39431, -111.63, in Arizona, in hydrologic subbasin 15060203, at an elevation of about 3,600 feet, draining roughly 69 square miles.
Can I use Fossil Creek near Strawberry, AZ data for flood or safety decisions?
No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.

Other gauges in this subbasin