USGS Streamgage 11449500
Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA
Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA is USGS streamgage 11449500 in California, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 18020116. It drains a watershed of about 37 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1946. Typical flow runs near 4.5 cfs in July and 39.7 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.
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Gauge details
- State
- California
- Drainage area
- 37 sq mi
- Gauge elevation
- 1,478 ft
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 18020116
- Coordinates
- 38.92736, -122.84357
- USGS site number
- 11449500
- Records begin
- 1946-10-01 (80 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.7 | ||
| 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.8 | ||
| 3.1 | 3.5 | 4 | ||
| 3 | 3.4 | 3.9 | ||
| 2.9 | 3.4 | 3.9 | ||
| 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.9 | ||
| 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.9 | ||
| 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.9 | ||
| 2.4 | 3 | 3.8 | ||
| 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.8 | ||
| 2.7 | 3.4 | 4.3 | ||
| 2.8 | 3.6 | 4.6 | ||
| 2.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 | ||
| 2.6 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 80 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9.2 | 59.3 | 496.9 | |
| February | 14.2 | 73.6 | 542.6 | |
| March | 19.5 | 73.7 | 346.5 | |
| April | 13.9 | 39.7 | 160.1 | |
| May | 7.7 | 21.1 | 55.3 | |
| June | 3.1 | 10 | 26.2 | |
| July | 1.2 | 4.5 | 12 | |
| August | 0.5 | 2.9 | 6.5 | |
| September | 0.7 | 3 | 5.8 | |
| October | 2 | 4.7 | 11.3 | |
| November | 4.6 | 9.1 | 76.2 | |
| December | 7 | 25.9 | 338 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA normally run highest?
- March, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 73.7 cfs, against 2.9 cfs in August, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 59.3 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 9.2 and 496.9 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 11449500 begin in 1946, about 80 years, covering roughly 9,130 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA?
- The gauge sits at 38.92736, -122.84357, in California, in hydrologic subbasin 18020116, at an elevation of about 1,478 feet, draining roughly 37 square miles.
- Can I use Kelsey C near Kelseyville, CA data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.