Rivermatics

USGS Streamgage 09195000

Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY

Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY is USGS streamgage 09195000 in Wyoming, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 14040102. Discharge records at this site go back to 2023. Typical flow runs near 124.7 cfs in July and 0.8 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in July. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.

View live conditions & forecast →

Gauge details

State
Wyoming
Gauge elevation
7,697 ft
Subbasin (HUC-8)
14040102
Coordinates
42.99311, -109.90941
USGS site number
09195000
Records begin
2023-10-28 (3 years)
Rivermatics forecast
14-day flow outlook

14-day flow forecast

Based on observations through for Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.

Forecast daily mean discharge in cubic feet per second, by date
Date Low p10 Expected p50 High p90 Range
3.1 3.5 4.1
3 3.5 4
3 3.5 4.1
3 3.6 4.1
3 3.6 4.1
2.9 3.5 4
2.9 3.5 4.2
3 3.5 4.1
2.9 3.5 4.1
2.9 3.5 4.1
2.9 3.5 4.1
2.8 3.5 4.2
2.8 3.4 4.2
2.8 3.4 4.2

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.

Typical flow by month

Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 3 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.

Historical monthly discharge percentiles in cubic feet per second
Month Low p10 Typical p50 High p90 Range
January 1.1
February 1
March 1.1
April 0.8
May 16.6
June 172
July 124.7
August 2.8
September 1.6
October 1
November 0.9
December 1

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).

Common questions

When does Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY normally run highest?
June, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 172 cfs, against 0.8 cfs in April, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
How long has Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY been measured?
Discharge records at USGS site 09195000 begin in 2023, about 3 years, covering roughly 1,008 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
Is there a flow forecast for Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY?
Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
Where is Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY?
The gauge sits at 42.99311, -109.90941, in Wyoming, in hydrologic subbasin 14040102, at an elevation of about 7,697 feet.
Can I use Lake Creek below Willow Lake, near Cora, WY data for flood or safety decisions?
No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.

Other gauges in this subbasin