Rivermatics

USGS Streamgage 14158740

McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR

McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR is USGS streamgage 14158740 in Oregon, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 17090004. It sits on the Mckenzie River, alongside 8 other gauges Rivermatics tracks on the same river. It drains a watershed of about 160 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 2016. Typical flow runs near 230.6 cfs in July and 359.2 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead, alongside daily high and low water-temperature forecasts.

View live conditions & forecast →

Gauge details

State
Oregon
Drainage area
160 sq mi
Subbasin (HUC-8)
17090004
Coordinates
44.28639, -122.03681
USGS site number
14158740
Records begin
2016-07-21 (10 years)
Rivermatics forecast
14-day flow outlook + water temperature

14-day flow forecast

Based on observations through for McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.

Forecast daily mean discharge in cubic feet per second, by date
Date Low p10 Expected p50 High p90 Range
184 185 186
183 185 187
182 185 187
181 184 188
179 184 190
177 184 191
176 183 196
174 183 198
172 183 196
166 183 194
163 182 194
161 182 195
160 182 196
159 181 198

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.

Typical flow by month

Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 10 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.

Historical monthly discharge percentiles in cubic feet per second
Month Low p10 Typical p50 High p90 Range
January 211.9 314 727.7
February 205.3 296.5 542.8
March 206.3 277.2 582.5
April 248.2 359.2 1,158.4
May 237.5 526.2 914.1
June 188.4 299.6 826.3
July 147 230.6 654.1
August 143.1 199.5 582.7
September 145 188 589.6
October 158.6 183.7 607.5
November 161.5 221.5 564.7
December 190.2 280.5 539.4

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).

Common questions

When does McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR normally run highest?
May, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 526.2 cfs, against 183.7 cfs in October, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
What is a normal flow for McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR?
It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 314 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 211.9 and 727.7 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
How long has McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR been measured?
Discharge records at USGS site 14158740 begin in 2016, about 10 years, covering roughly 3,669 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
Is there a flow forecast for McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR?
Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. A companion model forecasts each day's water-temperature high and low. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
Where is McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR?
The gauge sits at 44.28639, -122.03681, in Oregon, in hydrologic subbasin 17090004, draining roughly 160 square miles.
Can I use McKenzie River below Payne Creek, near Belknap Springs, OR data for flood or safety decisions?
No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.

Upstream and downstream on the Mckenzie River

Every gauge Rivermatics tracks on this river, ordered by drainage area — upstream first. See the Mckenzie River in full.

Other gauges in this subbasin