USGS Streamgage 06088500
Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT
Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT is USGS streamgage 06088500 in Montana, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 10030104. It drains a watershed of about 256 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1925. Typical flow runs near 280 cfs in July and 32.5 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in July. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.
View live conditions & forecast →
Gauge details
- State
- Montana
- Drainage area
- 256 sq mi
- Gauge elevation
- 3,343 ft
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 10030104
- Coordinates
- 47.56127, -111.54177
- USGS site number
- 06088500
- Records begin
- 1925-06-01 (101 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 | 282 | 325 | ||
| 252 | 298 | 364 | ||
| 226 | 279 | 332 | ||
| 192 | 257 | 306 | ||
| 166 | 239 | 289 | ||
| 161 | 233 | 288 | ||
| 136 | 222 | 281 | ||
| 132 | 215 | 273 | ||
| 122 | 204 | 264 | ||
| 115 | 194 | 255 | ||
| 110 | 186 | 248 | ||
| 99.6 | 178 | 241 | ||
| 91.4 | 170 | 235 | ||
| 94.1 | 167 | 230 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 101 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 18.9 | 30.8 | 51.1 | |
| February | 19.5 | 33.3 | 55.2 | |
| March | 22 | 35.4 | 88.6 | |
| April | 21.3 | 32.5 | 63.4 | |
| May | 54.2 | 118.5 | 223.2 | |
| June | 122.6 | 227.8 | 366.7 | |
| July | 152.4 | 280 | 400.6 | |
| August | 150.4 | 266.3 | 394 | |
| September | 86.7 | 168.6 | 260.7 | |
| October | 57 | 90.7 | 144.9 | |
| November | 38.4 | 57.6 | 77.8 | |
| December | 25.5 | 40.1 | 61.4 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT normally run highest?
- July, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 280 cfs, against 30.8 cfs in January, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 30.8 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 18.9 and 51.1 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 06088500 begin in 1925, about 101 years, covering roughly 9,183 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT?
- The gauge sits at 47.56127, -111.54177, in Montana, in hydrologic subbasin 10030104, at an elevation of about 3,343 feet, draining roughly 256 square miles.
- Can I use Muddy Creek at Vaughn, MT data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.