Rivermatics

USGS Streamgage 14315500

North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR

North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR is USGS streamgage 14315500 in Oregon, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 17100301. It sits on the North Umpqua River, alongside 2 other gauges Rivermatics tracks on the same river. It drains a watershed of about 335 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1925. Typical flow runs near 88.7 cfs in July and 72 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in July. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.

View live conditions & forecast →

Gauge details

State
Oregon
Drainage area
335 sq mi
Subbasin (HUC-8)
17100301
Coordinates
43.26373, -122.42171
USGS site number
14315500
Records begin
1925-02-04 (101 years)
Rivermatics forecast
14-day flow outlook

14-day flow forecast

Based on observations through for North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.

Forecast daily mean discharge in cubic feet per second, by date
Date Low p10 Expected p50 High p90 Range
88 88.5 89
88 88.9 90.3
87.8 88.9 90.8
87.4 88.7 90.7
87.1 88.6 91
86.8 88.5 91.1
86.4 88.4 90
86.1 88.3 90.2
85.8 88.2 90.2
85.5 88.2 90.3
85.3 88.1 90.3
85.2 88 90.3
85.1 87.9 90.4
84.8 87.9 90.5

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.

Typical flow by month

Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 23 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.

Historical monthly discharge percentiles in cubic feet per second
Month Low p10 Typical p50 High p90 Range
January 53.6 71.5 310.1
February 63 71.6 197.8
March 57.7 72.2 461.4
April 60.2 72 361.8
May 55.7 74.1 413.1
June 62.3 89.5 424.2
July 59.5 88.7 127
August 60.3 89.3 346.3
September 84.7 89.8 207
October 59.7 89.1 196.8
November 52.5 69.4 159.6
December 56.4 70.5 276.5

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).

Common questions

When does North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR normally run highest?
September, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 89.8 cfs, against 69.4 cfs in November, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
What is a normal flow for North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR?
It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 71.5 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 53.6 and 310.1 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
How long has North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR been measured?
Discharge records at USGS site 14315500 begin in 1925, about 101 years, covering roughly 8,345 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
Is there a flow forecast for North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR?
Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
Where is North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR?
The gauge sits at 43.26373, -122.42171, in Oregon, in hydrologic subbasin 17100301, draining roughly 335 square miles.
Can I use North Umpqua River at Toketee Falls, OR data for flood or safety decisions?
No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.

Upstream and downstream on the North Umpqua River

Every gauge Rivermatics tracks on this river, ordered by drainage area — upstream first. See the North Umpqua River in full.

Other gauges in this subbasin