USGS Streamgage 06453600
Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr.
Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr. is USGS streamgage 06453600 in Nebraska, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 10170104. It drains a watershed of about 812 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1957. Typical flow runs near 25 cfs in July and 96.2 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.
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Gauge details
- State
- Nebraska
- Drainage area
- 812 sq mi
- Gauge elevation
- 1,250 ft
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 10170104
- Coordinates
- 42.81086, -98.1754
- USGS site number
- 06453600
- Records begin
- 1957-10-01 (69 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr.. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.1 | 62.9 | 133 | ||
| 14.2 | 33.1 | 86.9 | ||
| 8.8 | 19.4 | 49 | ||
| 6.7 | 15.5 | 47.8 | ||
| 5 | 14.3 | 54.9 | ||
| 5.3 | 14.1 | 49 | ||
| 6.2 | 29.1 | 209 | ||
| 13.4 | 145 | 1,494 | ||
| 32.9 | 277 | 1,680 | ||
| 30.4 | 215 | 1,005 | ||
| 18.9 | 125 | 550 | ||
| 12.3 | 75.4 | 330 | ||
| 11.4 | 54.2 | 220 | ||
| 9.5 | 37.9 | 150 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 69 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.1 | 10.2 | 66.6 | |
| February | 2.3 | 30.3 | 194.7 | |
| March | 13.9 | 86.7 | 609.8 | |
| April | 19.9 | 96.2 | 502.5 | |
| May | 15.6 | 77.2 | 529.2 | |
| June | 8.7 | 56.4 | 440.3 | |
| July | 0.8 | 25 | 235.3 | |
| August | 0 | 11.4 | 121.5 | |
| September | 0 | 8.3 | 81.5 | |
| October | 0.2 | 12 | 86.8 | |
| November | 1.7 | 16.5 | 80.9 | |
| December | 1.2 | 12.3 | 74.5 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr. normally run highest?
- April, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 96.2 cfs, against 8.3 cfs in September, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr.?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 10.2 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 0.1 and 66.6 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr. been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 06453600 begin in 1957, about 69 years, covering roughly 9,200 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr.?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr.?
- The gauge sits at 42.81086, -98.1754, in Nebraska, in hydrologic subbasin 10170104, at an elevation of about 1,250 feet, draining roughly 812 square miles.
- Can I use Ponca Creek at Verdel, Nebr. data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.