Rivermatics

USGS Streamgage 08271000

Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM

Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM is USGS streamgage 08271000 in New Mexico, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 13020101. It drains a watershed of about 17 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1911. Typical flow runs near 22.7 cfs in July and 18.1 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in July. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead.

View live conditions & forecast →

Gauge details

State
New Mexico
Drainage area
17 sq mi
Gauge elevation
8,051 ft
Subbasin (HUC-8)
13020101
Coordinates
36.50829, -105.53096
USGS site number
08271000
Records begin
1911-06-01 (115 years)
Rivermatics forecast
14-day flow outlook

14-day flow forecast

Based on observations through for Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.

Forecast daily mean discharge in cubic feet per second, by date
Date Low p10 Expected p50 High p90 Range
4.1 4.3 4.9
4.1 4.6 6
4.3 5.3 8.4
4.5 5.7 10.2
4.3 5.2 7.9
4.2 4.9 6.4
4 4.6 5.9
3.9 4.5 5.6
3.8 4.4 5.4
3.7 4.3 5.2
3.7 4.2 5.1
3.6 4.1 5
3.5 4.1 4.9
3.5 4.1 5

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.

Typical flow by month

Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 112 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.

Historical monthly discharge percentiles in cubic feet per second
Month Low p10 Typical p50 High p90 Range
January 4.1 5.7 7.5
February 4 5.5 7.9
March 4.9 7.7 15.4
April 9.7 18.1 37.3
May 19.4 49.2 98.8
June 16 54.5 128.1
July 10.1 22.7 51.5
August 8.3 15.6 27.9
September 7.2 11.3 21.3
October 6.6 9.7 16.9
November 5.3 8 12.3
December 4.4 6.6 9.3

All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).

Common questions

When does Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM normally run highest?
June, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 54.5 cfs, against 5.5 cfs in February, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
What is a normal flow for Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM?
It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 5.7 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 4.1 and 7.5 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
How long has Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM been measured?
Discharge records at USGS site 08271000 begin in 1911, about 115 years, covering roughly 9,129 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
Is there a flow forecast for Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM?
Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
Where is Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM?
The gauge sits at 36.50829, -105.53096, in New Mexico, in hydrologic subbasin 13020101, at an elevation of about 8,051 feet, draining roughly 17 square miles.
Can I use Rio Lucero near Arroyo Seco, NM data for flood or safety decisions?
No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.

Other gauges in this subbasin