USGS Streamgage 06926290
Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO
Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO is USGS streamgage 06926290 in Missouri, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 10290111. It drains a watershed of about 303 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 2014. Typical flow runs near 46.5 cfs in July and 260 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead, alongside daily high and low water-temperature forecasts.
View live conditions & forecast →
Gauge details
- State
- Missouri
- Drainage area
- 303 sq mi
- Gauge elevation
- 553 ft
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 10290111
- Coordinates
- 38.27778, -92.23333
- USGS site number
- 06926290
- Records begin
- 2014-05-23 (12 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook + water temperature
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5 | 15.9 | 26.3 | ||
| 11.3 | 14.6 | 22.7 | ||
| 10.6 | 13.5 | 19.9 | ||
| 10.2 | 13.8 | 26.8 | ||
| 9.9 | 14 | 28.4 | ||
| 9.1 | 13.4 | 31.5 | ||
| 8.6 | 12.9 | 28 | ||
| 8.3 | 12.3 | 23.5 | ||
| 8.7 | 12.5 | 25.7 | ||
| 8.5 | 12.3 | 22.1 | ||
| 8.3 | 11.8 | 19.4 | ||
| 8 | 11.2 | 17.2 | ||
| 7.8 | 10.9 | 16.5 | ||
| 8 | 10.9 | 16.2 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 12 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 23.6 | 79.3 | 1,569.8 | |
| February | 28 | 98.6 | 1,261.7 | |
| March | 50.3 | 220.2 | 1,757.9 | |
| April | 87.8 | 260 | 2,671.8 | |
| May | 57 | 244.6 | 2,322.6 | |
| June | 19.4 | 95.9 | 1,725.4 | |
| July | 12.1 | 46.5 | 1,164.4 | |
| August | 8.4 | 28.3 | 472.5 | |
| September | 7.4 | 18.9 | 333.4 | |
| October | 8.5 | 21.5 | 291.2 | |
| November | 17.7 | 36.5 | 671.7 | |
| December | 19.7 | 54.5 | 1,632.1 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO normally run highest?
- April, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 260 cfs, against 18.9 cfs in September, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 79.3 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 23.6 and 1,569.8 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 06926290 begin in 2014, about 12 years, covering roughly 4,458 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. A companion model forecasts each day's water-temperature high and low. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO?
- The gauge sits at 38.27778, -92.23333, in Missouri, in hydrologic subbasin 10290111, at an elevation of about 553 feet, draining roughly 303 square miles.
- Can I use Tavern Creek below St. Elizabeth, MO data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.