USGS Streamgage 14338000
Elk Creek near Trail, OR
Elk Creek near Trail, OR is USGS streamgage 14338000 in Oregon, monitoring river discharge in hydrologic subbasin 17100307. It drains a watershed of about 129 square miles. Discharge records at this site go back to 1945. Typical flow runs near 11.6 cfs in July and 237.3 cfs in April, with the higher of the two arriving in April. Rivermatics issues a daily machine-learned flow outlook for this gauge, reaching 14 days ahead, alongside daily high and low water-temperature forecasts.
View live conditions & forecast →
Gauge details
- State
- Oregon
- Drainage area
- 129 sq mi
- Subbasin (HUC-8)
- 17100307
- Coordinates
- 42.67874, -122.74199
- USGS site number
- 14338000
- Records begin
- 1945-11-01 (81 years)
- Rivermatics forecast
- 14-day flow outlook + water temperature
14-day flow forecast
Based on observations through for Elk Creek near Trail, OR. Each day carries a median estimate and the band the model expects the flow to fall within — not a single number to plan against. Forecasts are re-issued daily; see the live screen for the current outlook.
| Date | Low p10 | Expected p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 4.2 | 5 | ||
| 3.2 | 4.6 | 6.5 | ||
| 2.9 | 4.7 | 7.1 | ||
| 2.6 | 4.5 | 6.7 | ||
| 2.2 | 4.1 | 6.4 | ||
| 1.8 | 3.7 | 6 | ||
| 1.5 | 3.4 | 5.7 | ||
| 1.3 | 3.2 | 5.5 | ||
| 1.1 | 2.9 | 5.2 | ||
| 0.9 | 2.7 | 4.8 | ||
| 0.8 | 2.6 | 4.6 | ||
| 0.8 | 2.4 | 4.3 | ||
| 0.7 | 2.2 | 4.1 | ||
| 0.7 | 2.2 | 3.9 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs). Estimates only — do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision.
Typical flow by month
Long-term daily discharge percentiles from the USGS record (up to 80 years of data), averaged within each month. These describe the historical normal range — they are not a forecast and not today's reading.
| Month | Low p10 | Typical p50 | High p90 | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 57.1 | 294.3 | 1,237.8 | |
| February | 88.3 | 308.2 | 1,028.3 | |
| March | 102.6 | 306.8 | 866.7 | |
| April | 83.8 | 237.3 | 548.2 | |
| May | 39.4 | 120 | 295.3 | |
| June | 15.9 | 40.6 | 114.1 | |
| July | 4.5 | 11.6 | 25.4 | |
| August | 1.5 | 4.8 | 11.1 | |
| September | 1.6 | 4.8 | 11.7 | |
| October | 4.1 | 10.7 | 44 | |
| November | 12.6 | 55 | 387.7 | |
| December | 31.6 | 179.8 | 1,080 |
All values in cubic feet per second (cfs).
Common questions
- When does Elk Creek near Trail, OR normally run highest?
- February, on the long-term record. The median daily flow that month is about 308.2 cfs, against 4.8 cfs in August, the lowest month. These are historical normals for the date, not a forecast and not today's reading.
- What is a normal flow for Elk Creek near Trail, OR?
- It depends on the month. In January, half of days historically fall near 294.3 cfs, with the middle 80% of days between 57.1 and 1,237.8 cfs. The month-by-month table on this page gives the full range.
- How long has Elk Creek near Trail, OR been measured?
- Discharge records at USGS site 14338000 begin in 1945, about 81 years, covering roughly 9,090 days of published daily values. The long record is what makes the monthly percentiles on this page meaningful.
- Is there a flow forecast for Elk Creek near Trail, OR?
- Yes. Rivermatics trains a machine-learned model — a temporal-fusion transformer — on this basin's observed flows, weather, and snowpack, and issues a daily flow outlook reaching 14 days ahead: a median estimate inside a confidence band, not a single number to bet on. A companion model forecasts each day's water-temperature high and low. Every forecast is scored against days the model never trained on, and that track record is published on the live gauge screen. Open live conditions to see the current outlook.
- Where is Elk Creek near Trail, OR?
- The gauge sits at 42.67874, -122.74199, in Oregon, in hydrologic subbasin 17100307, draining roughly 129 square miles.
- Can I use Elk Creek near Trail, OR data for flood or safety decisions?
- No. Rivermatics provides estimates, not guarantees, and the readings and forecasts here may be delayed, inaccurate, or wrong. Do not use them for navigation or for any safety, rescue, or emergency decision. Check the National Weather Service and USGS directly, and use your own judgment.